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Saturday, November 13, 2010

Dollar's Upmove Should See Gold Test Support

By Mike Paulenof



Similar to the relationship between the emini S&P 500 and cash Dollar Index (DXY), the spot gold-DXY relationship also suggests that gold prices are poised to test a key near-term range or channel boundary -- in this case, along its July-Nov support line, now at $1342 -- especially if the DXY pushes higher to confront its June-Nov down-trendline at 79.30.

The real question, however, is whether or not spot gold will hold at $1342, while the DXY stalls at 79.30. I don't have the answer to that question, but a test of the channel boundaries appears to be directly ahead.



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