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Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Warning Signal for Natural Gas ETF

By Mike Paulenoff


Let’s notice that this morning’s new recovery high in the UNG at 17.47 was accompanied by a glaring negative RSI divergence, which is a major warning signal to me that the upmove from the late-April double bottom at 12.69 likely ended at 17.47 (+38%). My near-term pattern work also warns me that the form of the Apr-May upleg exhibits the look of completion – ahead of a corrective period that should press prices into the 15.75/25 area and possibly to the 14.50 area prior to my expectation of another powerful upleg that should propel prices above 18 into the 20.00-21.00 area thereafter. I will be looking for entry into the long side under 16.00 in the upcoming hours/days.

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