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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

SDS Upleg Nearing Completion

By Mike Paulenoff


Let's notice that after the Proshares Ultrashort SPY (AMEX: SDS) pulled back (to 82.88) during the first hour of trading, it climbed strongly to an intraday high at 87.11, which happens to be just shy of yest.'s rally peak at 87.65. The fact that the price structure failed to make a new high, and instead has backed away from the highs, suggests strongly that the upleg from the 1/06 low at 64.29 is at or is quickly nearing completion ahead of a meaningful decline. Two scenarios are most likely: 1) that all of the action from yesterday's high at 87.65 is part of an incomplete bullish coil, which when complete should trigger one more upleg that projects to 88.00/30; or 2) failure to remain within the coil, followed by a break beneath 82.90/85 should trigger downside acceleration towards next target of 78.00.

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