By Harry Boxer, The Technical Trader
We had a volatile session, but it ended well with the indices not far off the highs for the day. In fact, the S&P 500 closed very near the highs for the day and it ended positively in what appeared to be late pre-weekend short-covering that affected the market in a positive note, and closed strongly particularly in the last 20-30 minutes.
The markets had what I would call an ugly day today and a nasty way to start the week. They weren't down tremendously, but they ended far from where they started.
The day started out with pre-market futures sharply higher. The indices gapped up nicely ,but then sold off the rest of the morning. At mid-session when they hit their mid-day lows and they tried to bounce, lasting about an hour, but they couldn' t carry too far. They only took back about 30 percent of the losses, then rolled over, retested, broke down and made lower lows, bounced around in the last hour and held last week's support lows. In the last 15 minutes they did get a snapback that took them substantially off the lows.
Net on the day the Dow closed near 8870, down 73.27. The S&P 500 at 919 was down 11.78, and the Nasdaq 100 at 1251 was down 20.62. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX) at around 214 1/2 was down 8.71, about a 4 1/2 percent loss.
Advance-declines were negative by 21 to 10 on New York and about 20 to 8 1/2 on Nasdaq. Up/down volume was more than 2 to 1 negative on New York on total volume of less than 1.2 billion. Nasdaq traded a little more than 1 2/3 billion, with a volume ratio of 3 1/2 to 1 negative.
TheTechTrader.com board was mixed and narrowly so for most stocks. On the plus side, the agriculture stocks were strong in the morning, gave back a chunk of it, but still several of them ended on the plus side. CF Holdings (CF) gained 1.45 and POT 1.06.
Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) was up 2.10 to 26.51. The SDS was up 1.51, the QID 2.27, the FXI Chinese ETF up 1.01 and the USO up 1.06 on firm oil today.
Other than that there were only fractional gainers on our board.
On the downside, Apple (AAPL) lost 2.36, CAL 1.96, and MS 1.40. JA Solar (JASO) lost 87 cents, Canadian Solar (CSIQ) 42 cents, C 61 cents, BRCM 52 cents, and AFAM 66 cents. Sigma Designs (SIGM) lost 68 cents to 9.18. UAUA lost 64 cents.
Stepping back and reviewing the hourly chart patterns the indices had a promising start, with a strong gap-up, but failed to follow through, and when they broke early support, they turned south in a hurry, tried to rally back mid-day , but continued lower in the afternoon to new session lows. Last week's sharp lows on the NDX just above 1235 held, and a late snapback took them back off the lows.
The trend certainly remains in doubt, but the technical damage done on Tuesday and Friday was not abated today, as the indices retested the lows and are in jeopardy of making lower lows and retesting much deeper levels unless they can stem the tide here.
Good trading!
Harry
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